he UK service sector expanded at its fastest rate for two years in September, according to the latest survey of purchasing managers.
The figure for the sector rose to 55.3 in September from 54.1 in August, according to the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS).
It was the fifth month above the 50 level, which indicates expansion.
Restaurants, hotels and companies offering services to other businesses were particularly strong.
Activity fell in transport, storage, communication and personal services.
‘Losing impetus’
Last week, CIPS announced that its corresponding figure for the manufacturing sector had slipped to 49.5 in September from 49.7 in August.
Taken together, the whole economy figure rose to 54.3 in September from 54.2 in August.
“While that is still in positive territory, the stagnation on the month, and the further cuts in employment, could be the first signs that the UK economy may already be losing some of the initial impetus that is likely to have dragged it out of recession in the third quarter,” said Colin Ellis at Daiwa Securities.
“That is consistent with our view that the recovery is likely to prove slow and protracted, and we expect subdued growth during 2010.”
‘Upward momentum’
There was upbeat news for a key part of the service sector in the latest quarterly financial services survey from the employers’ organisation, the CBI.
It found that financial firms may be recovering, with business volumes growing for the first time in two years.
Analysts said that the positive news from the service sector would be taken as an indication that the Bank of England’s policy of quantitative easing was working.
“It’s a steady upward momentum, and consistent with the economy pulling out of recession in the second half of the year, probably in Q3,” said Alan Clarke, UK economist at BNP Paribas.
“I’ve estimated that the PMI surveys are roughly five points stronger than they would have been without QE. This survey reinforces that view.”
The Bank’s policymakers meet on Wednesday for their monthly two-day meeting, but no changes are expected to interest rates or the quanti
The UK service sector expanded at its fastest rate for two years in September, according to the latest survey of purchasing managers.